I predict an Obama landslide

by Rainier on October 3, 2008

The only US Vice-Presidential debate just finished a few minutes ago. In fairness, “drill, baby, drill” Gov. Sarah Palin was not a disaster tonight. But against Senator Joe Biden? I think she still came up empty. There was no match. She tried many times to “debate” Obama and has many times put Obama on the debate line even though she was debating Joe Biden. I guess that must be the strategy.

Watch and listen to the debate here.

Did it change anything? My personal conclusion says NO. The Governor of Alaska was not able to separate herself from the negative perception that the Republican ticket was more of the same. She was not able to articulate what their campaign is saying that “Change is coming.”

Before this debate, there was already a shift in the electoral map and it is now favoring the Obama ticket. I’m actually a little bit surprised with Obama’s campaign why they would not do a Bill Clinton and hammer the campaign, that this is really nothing more than “It’s the economy, stupid!”

  1. John McCain is pulling out of Michigan, a stunning move a month away from Election Day that indicates the difficulty Republicans are having in finding blue states to put in play. Recent polls there have shown Obama extending what had been a small lead, with the economic crisis damaging an already sagging GOP brand in a state whose economy is in tatters.
  2. Asked why he has been falling in polls since the financial crisis, Republican presidential candidate John McCain sums it up this way: “Cause life isn’t fair.”
  3. Recently trailing or tied, Obama now leads McCain in a trio of the most critical, vote-rich states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania after the opening presidential debate and during Monday’s dramatic stock market plunge as the House rejected a $700 billion financial bailout plan.

But the McCain campaign is fully aware that they are losing grounds, as a matter of fact, they have now pulled out of Michigan and the three battlestates are now with Obama. What’s interesting is that, McCain will soon hammer the Obama campain on the economic worries starting with a lot of campaign ads that I am now seeing here in Philadelphia that Obama did not act on the Wall Street woes.

But here’s the irony of the economic worries campaign of John McCain. The more his campaign centers on voter’s economic concern, the more his ratings on the poll comes down. Now, let me get back to Gov. Sarah Palin.

I think my problem with Gov. Sarah Palin is that I can?t seem to connect with what she is saying. Yeah, I hear her ?We need to combat greed and corruption in Wall Street and more regulation and all that?? but I can?t connect to those very general terms. I feel like I myself could run for the Vice Presidency and could probably offer more specifics that Americans can understand.

Foreign policy is definitely an area that?s not really in Gov. Sarah Palin?s neighborhood. I honestly did not like her statement when she said ?They hate America or sum’tin sum’tin! Obama’s rush to coddle Iran?s president, Kim Jong Il and the Castro?s as beyond bad judgment” to that effect was not palatable to my ears.

I believe Senator Joe Biden won this debate (link was updated), but let’s wait for the pundits, the results of the focus groups and polls. Senator Joe Biden was very articulate and clear. Palin? At least she was not a disaster.

Update: 10/03/08

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Let me make an early election prediction. Barring any Obama campaign mishap? I believe there will be an Obama landslide.
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{ 17 comments… read them below or add one }

bebe October 3, 2008 at 5:12 pm

i agree with you. puro general answers, yun lang siguro ang tinuro ng mga ‘tormentors’ nya hehe.

i admire joe biden, he really did his homework. he always does. kahit sa democrats debate noon mas magaling pa sya kay obama.

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The Ca t October 3, 2008 at 9:41 pm

i did not like the political strategy of bringing her children in that debate forum. it was 10:36 here in the East COast and
9:36 in Misouri last night when the debate was finished.

It was past the bedtime of the two children especially the youngest who was uncomfortably sleeping in the arms of her pregnant daughter.

it was worse that the kissing-kids campain strategy.

The Ca t’s last blog post..Blankets for Cold Hearts

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empress maruja October 3, 2008 at 10:33 pm

Well, you gotta give credit to Palin in fairness. She said things that Americans like to hear (especially about the domestic energy and tax breaks questions). Kaya lang, I don’t know… nabubuwisit ako kapag naririnig siya.

empress maruja’s last blog post..Karina Montefalcon (Part 9)

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Cocoy's Delight October 4, 2008 at 2:00 am

Hey?waddya expect reyna elena when half of America thinks Mussolini is a Disneyland character.

Holla! Americans,they have NO debt, meaning they are not indebted on an individual dimension, and USA has got one hundred billion in its coffer.

Now,defaulted americans can thank congressman Humpty Dumpty announced he?d voted against the bill the first time but for it the second time, because it was the right thing to do after Bush and the big fat guy in congress twisted there arms.

Have a party gringos what you just saw was democracy (the majority vote of crooked politicians and their business partners) trump a representative republic.

Cocoy’s Delight’s last blog post..Senate Passes $700B Bailout: A Bitter Pill To Swallow

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bluepanjeet October 4, 2008 at 11:35 am

I watched this last night and I think we had a good discussion reynz on your previous post. Though I cannot really make any connections on what Palin is saying to the solution to the different crisis that was raised by gwen, yet she really is good and eloquent when it comes to energy haha.

I think MCCain made a mistake in taking her as a runningmate. Palin should be running as a senator and not as a VP so that she could head the energy committee on the senate, tutal mula simula hanggang huli puro energy na lang ang narinig ko sa kanya.

And yes I agree with what cat said, it seems she used her kids to gather sympathy in the debate.

I can’t wait for the next debate haha. — Im talking about McCain and Obama’s.

I was upset with Palin because she didn’t use any lifeline of phone any friend LOL

bluepanjeet’s last blog post..GMA 7?s Newsmakers: 5 Philippine President?s Documentary – Full Video

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kutz October 4, 2008 at 9:22 pm

I thought she was just a great looking uterus who had cerebral cortex-tomy! Napaka walang utaaakkkk, grrrrr!!!! Republican pa naman kami, kakahiya, hmpt! Di bale effective naman yata yung *wink* *wink* niya eh no? Baka sakaling umubra sa presidente ng Iran kapag nanalo sila’t natigok si lolo Mac, ehehehehe. O davah, foreign policy plus point din yun kahit papano. Lower your standards naman Ateng, no child left behind pa naman ang uso ngayon, HAHAHAHA!

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reynz October 3, 2008 at 8:35 pm

pwedeng pwede si Biden to run as President, magaling sya. he’s from Scranton, Pennsylvania pero nung nag-asawa lumipat nang Delaware, kaya it’s funny dahil kino-konsider sya na Third Senator nang Pennsylvania hahaha

reynz’s last blog post..I predict an Obama landslide

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reyna elena October 3, 2008 at 11:44 pm

moms kasi ang drama hahaha! but i think she was very effective last nite and she did very well to erase the very negative perception following the Katie Couric interview which was really good for her.

reyna elena’s last blog post..I predict an Obama landslide

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reyna elena October 3, 2008 at 11:47 pm

you’re right ateng! she was good about energy pero indi naman totoo yong sinasabi nyang they were building a pipeline in alaska papunta sa mainland USA as in hallerrr!!! state bill pa lang yun and they don’t even know if that will pass and if ever na mag-pass ang bill na yun sa state legislature nang Alaska aabutin pa nang 10 years bago simulan, letche uugud ugod na ako bago ma-realize yun hahah reality check nakita ko, indi daw tama yung sinabi ni beauty queen hahaha

in ferness, ang ganda nang damit nya again with the Valentino

reyna elena’s last blog post..I predict an Obama landslide

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The Ca t October 4, 2008 at 1:12 pm

alam mo blue, kaya hindi mo maintindihan ang sinasabi no pali dahil siya mismo hindi nya maintindihan ang issue. hahaha yan ang sinasabing in debates, if you can not use your charm use power words, kagaya rin sa google..use keywords…kaya ginagamit niya ang salitang mavericks na ibig sabihin they for a change but in translation …they can not win using bush platform…na ibigsak ang ekonomiya ng bansa.

Habang nanonood ako ng debate, ang nakikita ko ay ang kaniyang mentors kung paano makipagdebate…kung paano palalabuin ang isyu katulad at kung paano umiwas sa mga isyung di niya alam.

The Ca t’s last blog post..Bailout was approved and signed-Now What ?

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bluepanjeet October 4, 2008 at 1:38 pm

hahaha alm mo mam Cat palagi ko nga iniemail si reynz kagabi kasi nagdududa ako kung ako lang ba ang di nakakaintindi ng pinagsasasabi ni Palin. Im not an economist nor am I a US citizen that’s why i always ask reynz if my understanding and comprehension of the issue is right.

sabi ko nga kay reynz mam Cat, ngiting aso si Biden, and one time dun sa debate kumamot pa sya sa ulo. Medyo may kayabangan ang asta ni Biden kasi para sinasabi nya “Hoy Sarah ang labo mo!” haha pero ganun pa man bumilib ako sa dalawa kasi they are really professional.

Palin is a very charming politician. she really got my attention to think she was blabbering the whole time about Maverick, energy and Change chenes with that entire 10 part video, eh hidni man lang ako inantok. ang totoo nya kung di ko inemail si reynz malamang till now ang feeling ko ang bobo ko kasi di ko magets si Palin haha

Napakaganda ng politics dyan sa US. Kita mo na kahit minsan binobola ka lang politiko at least they have the credentials and track records of their performance to back them. Tsaka talagang gumagawa sila. I mean being a politician there in the us is an honor and not a dishonor. Eh dito sa atin mag artista ka lang pwede ka nang kumandidato. How I wish we could have the same political culture here in the Philippines kasi pihado pag eleksyo at ganyan ang mga politiko as in bilateral lang ang choices at walang mga banner banner at bayran, pihado lahat ng pinoy boboto at makikinig sa plataporma de gobyerno ng kandidato.

One thing I notice from Politicians in the US is that when they talk change and make promise, they really keep them. Pati solutions nila sa issue very realistic and goal oriented. Dito nakupo ang palataporma ay very general, malabo pa sa tubig sa imburnal at puro pangako lang. ni isa walang natutupad.

Ang di kasi maintindihan ng ibang pinoy kung bakit kami na taga pinas ay interesado sa politika ng US ay dahil directly affected ang Pilipinas kung ano kalalabasan ng eleksyon dyan.

Sa economy na lang, no brainer na kung bakit apektado ang Pinas pag maling presidente ang inilagay ng US Citizens.

For instance, if McCain would win, knowing that he is fickle minded and had a history of bad temper, do you think he would support the filipino people in our fight for democracy over Gloria? Eh si Sarah palin basta giyera, giyerahin na yan kahit pa nuclear ang gamitin. Kung magdeklara si arroyo ng martial law ano sasabihin ni McCain and Palin? I can see Manila from our house? haha

Kaya magandang subaybayan ang politics dyan kasi aminin man nang pinoy o hindi, direkta pa rin talaga apektado ang pinas.

bluepanjeet’s last blog post..Honeymooners

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reynz October 4, 2008 at 4:50 pm

nung dumating ako sa amerika nun, na-praning ako sa eleksyon nila. i took my time na intindihin ba’t iba yong popular vote. yon pala, 2-party system at meron silang tinatawag nga na Primary. At ang popular vote will be sa final elections between dun sa nanalo sa bawat party. Ang twist, kahit na 2-party, one can run as President sa final election.

i really like the way they choose the candidate here, dahil unlike at home, leche, tatlumpong dosena ang kandidato for President! Worse, tama sinabi mo, nalulungkot pa rin ako sa mentality nang karamihang Pinoy na pag sikat, artista, LIDER na sya. Juice ko! Parang gusto ko nang saksakin ang sarili koooo!!! Kelan pa kaya titino at matuto ang mga botanteng Pinoy? Pero, I can’t blame them. Sinadya nang Pinas na ganyan ang political system saten para sa kanila at sa mga me power para parating nasa poder sila.

Kaya pagdating sa eleksyon? Kung sino ang may pinakamagandang promise like, i will die one cow and cement you chorva, taz bigyan mo nang box of merienda at piso, panalo ka.

reynz’s last blog post..Bailout: Kaya kong maging Presidentress nang Amerika!

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bluepanjeet October 5, 2008 at 12:09 pm

Reynz and Mam Cat, I think next time try to post about the electoral vote. I can’t understand it. Kasi remember last time when Bush and Gore was competing in the presidency, mas maraming vote si Gore pero sa electoral vote nanalo si bush. Yun ang di ko talaga makuha kung bakit ganun ang sistema dyan. I mean is that really fair?

bluepanjeet’s last blog post..Honeymooners

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The Ca t October 5, 2008 at 1:41 pm

Ganito yan bluep. Ang presidente at vice presidente ay hindi ibinoboto direkta ng tao kung hindi ng sinasabing electoral college.

hindi ito school kung hindi mga taong binoboto nila para siyang bumoto para sa Pres. at Vice Pres.

Hindi puwede rito ang mga nasa gobyerno kasi may conflict of interest para bang mga volunteers na kung walang delicadeza, siyempre iboboto nila yong ipagaboboto sa kanila ng kanilang amo o ng kapartido ng amo nila. O diva

parang awards din yan. hohohoh.

Bawat States ay may assigned electors na iboboto depende kung ilang ang number ng kanilang representatives. Kaya yong malaking mga States, kagaya ng California, marami ang mga electors . Yong ibang malilit na States, isinasama nila sa malaki, halimbawa sa Washington DC.

Ang total na electors sa buong states ay 538. Para manalo ang PRes. or Vice Pres. kailangan makakuha siya ng 270 o mahigit sa kalahati.

ang pananalo ay hindi sa dami ng States kung hindi sa pananalo sa mga states na maraming electors.

yong nakaraang eleksion ni bush, maraming issue sa Florida dahil ang kapatid niya ay gobernador doon.

sabi ng iba ay naq disenfranchised sila dahil hindi binilang ang boto nila dahil hindi nila masyadong pinunch in yong mga chads.

ginogroom nila si jeb bush maging presdientiable pero sa mga partido kasi meron din diyang arrangement kung sino ang susunod na susuportahan nila.

para bang nakalinya na. next in line.

The Ca t’s last blog post..Smoking Kills and Reading the Provisions of the H.R. 1424 is hazardous to health

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reyna elena October 5, 2008 at 2:44 pm

hahaha natawa ako dun sa “indi ito school” in reference sa electoral college. hahaha! i remember nung una wez ko to magetz hahaha nabaliw ako between popular vote and electoral college.

and i remember the stupid “chad” linsyak na chad na yun! nakuuu! muntik nang maghiwalay ang California hahaha

yes, cat’s right and really good explanation.

basically, all states nang Estados Unidos, based sa population or electorates nila have an equivalent number of electors. so, iba’t ibang states, iba iba ang number nang electors.

that’s why pag sinabing BIG STATES, malaki ang elector nila.

what’s the difference between the electoral vote and the popular vote?

If you WON sa popular vote nang isang state?

You WIN the electoral vote.

Kung sinong pinakamaraming electoral vote, wagi.

reyna elena’s last blog post..What does it mean to be ?presidential? or in Manila, ?presidentiable??

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reynz October 4, 2008 at 4:40 pm

hay naku Cocoy, kaya medyo natagalan ako to make a Bail out entry because I was not sure if i will be happy and gay talaga ako. there was not a mention kung ano ang gagawain nila to those people who really caused the problem. i see this as another band-aid solution. in the meantime, it will work, pero in the long run, ewan.

reynz’s last blog post..Bailout: Kaya kong maging Presidentress nang Amerika!

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reyna elena October 4, 2008 at 9:36 pm

hahaha! i’m pretty sure, nag-ngi-ngitngit yan ki Katie Couric hahaha! Ang Katie Couric naman, maligaya, nakadale sya nang ratings because of what she did, which was really good, para mabring out ang totoo – that she can see Russia from her house! hahaha!

no BOYLETS left behind ako ateng! hahaha! ayoko nang child baka madale ako! hahaha!

reyna elena’s last blog post..Bailout: Kaya kong maging Presidentress nang Amerika!

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